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Dalton Roberts
--from the Chattanooga Times Free Press

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The Van Hilleary Poll Caper
February 1, 2002

 I'd just as soon suck a giant persimmon jawbreaker as to write a column on politics but the Van Hilleary poll caper of last week smoked me right out of  my peaceful slumber in the cave of political hibernation. But before I tell you what he did, let me admit to strong feelings about politicians addicted  to polling.

Should people run because they have good ideas and want to convince you of  the soundness of their plans or should they just see what you superficially think and then echo your views right back to you as their program? What a copout! Shouldn't we be able to assume that a person running for an office would have more information on the issues and options than random persons answering the phone to be quizzed?

Can you picture Harry Truman doing a poll? Thomas E. Dewey took one and it said he was going to be elected. Some newspapers believed it so much they had already printed headlines, "Dewey Wins." The next day the victorious Truman was pictured on many front pages with that million dollar smile holding a newspaper with one of those "Dewey Wins" headlines.

Can you picture Abraham Lincoln doing a poll? Asking people about emancipating slaves and going to war? The political greats make news by forging ideas and programs and taking stands that may be unpopular until they go to the mat to sell what they propose. The people deserve that kind of respect rather than the false respect of some pollster posing questions phrased to get the answer their client desires. The guy sitting at home burping down a beer after driving a truck from California to Tennessee makes no pretense of being an expert. He's less interested in spouting his opinions to a phoning pollster than he is in hearing some potential solutions laid out and explained.

Poll-crazy politicians are usually boring, idea-free, gutless wastes of our time. We can combat them by asking their callers, "Who is paying for this poll?" and then explaining, "Hey, if he's running, he needs to be telling us what he thinks rather than asking what we think. After all, he's the one running. We'll tell him how we like his ideas on election day. OK?"

Having admitted these clear biases about polling politicians, let's now look at what Van Hilleary did last week. He released a poll indicating he had 41 percent of the Republican voters for him or leaning toward him, compared to less than 5 percent for opponent Jim Henry. And when did he release his little poll? The day Jim Henry announced!

I have no confidence in early polls. It's no coincidence that those who buy polls usually get the results they desire. You can safely include pollsters among those who seldom bite the hand that feeds them. But even if this poll was done professionally and that could be proven to us, I have never seen one
handled more poorly.

To release it the day Henry announced makes Hilleary look like a little attention-starved child who can't stand to see anyone else get a moment's attention. The same issue of the paper that carried Henry's opening announcement carried Hilleary's merry little chirp, "Everywhere I go, I am amazed by the enthusiasm for my campaign."

Sure you are. So if things are going so spectacularly, why not take off a day and let your opponent announce?

Next came Wes Anderson, partner in the good news polling firm saying (here in January!) the GOP primary is all but over. His actual words: "It is done; it is over. It would take an act of God."

No, Mr. Anderson, it wouldn't take an act of God to elect Jim Henry or some other candidate. It would just take an act of the people. It's called voting. And jaybirds like you might just make them mad enough to do that very thing.